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Structured Outcome
July 31, 2025

Markets Always Rally

The stock market has crashed 19 times in the past 150 years.1 Every crash has been unique, with different causes, durations, and severity. The Global Financial Crisis in 2008 and 2009 had a max drawdown of -57% and lasted 17 months. But within a year of reaching its bottom, the market was up 69%.2 The COVID pandemic hit a max drawdown of -34% but only lasted one month. It was up 75% a year later.2 The COVID pandemic was the fastest market recovery of any crash over the past 150 years.1 

$1 invested in the stock market in 1871 would have grown to $31,805 by the end of June 2025, adjusted for inflation.1 This growth would have occurred amidst (and despite) those 19 market crashes. Even through the so-called “lost decade” of the early 2000s when it took over ten years for the market to recover from the dot com bubble, the Great Recession, and the COVID Pandemic, an investment made at the beginning of the millennium would have tripled in value by June 2025.1

Source: Bloomberg. As of 12/31/2024. Percentages represent the total growth of the recovery for each event. Time periods vary. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Despite their differences, what all crashes have in common is that they eventually recover. It’s impossible to know how long a crash will last and how severe it will be, but they remind us that recoveries can be sharp and meaningful. Some of the strongest market moves may even happen right after deep drawdowns.

Along with staying invested through drawdowns, corrections, and crashes, TrueShares has a new portfolio tool that aims to smooth market cycles and boost market recoveries. The TrueShares Convex Protect ETF (PVEX) is designed to provide a convex return pattern. On the upside, the fund aims for capital appreciation that could potentially match or exceed that of the U.S. large cap equity, providing convexity. On the downside, the fund aims to mitigate against a meaningful portion of the risk posed by a decline in U.S. large cap equity markets.

PVEX therefore offers a new solution that may help navigate future drawdowns and their rebounds.

For more information and full disclosures, visit: https://www.true-shares.com/pvex/

  1. https://www.morningstar.com/economy/what-weve-learned-150-years-stock-market-crashes
  2. https://www.mfs.com/content/dam/mfs-enterprise/mfscom/sales-tools/sales-ideas/mfse_resdwn_fly.pdf
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©2025, TrueShares, ©2025 TrueMark Investments, LLC. (“TrueMark”).

Before investing, carefully consider the TrueShares ETFs investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Specific information about TrueShares is contained in the prospectus and a summary prospectus, copies of which may be obtained by visiting www.www.true-shares.com. Read the prospectus carefully before you invest.

An investment in TrueShares is subject to numerous risks, including possible loss of principal. The ETFs are subject to the following principal risks: Authorized Participants, Market Makers, and Liquidity Providers Concentration Risk associated with ETFs; Equity Market Risk; Management Risk; Market Capitalization Risk (Large Cap; Mid Cap, Small Cap Stock); Market Risk; New Fund Risk: The Fund is a recently organized, non-diversified management investment company with no operating history. As a result, prospective investors have no track record or history on which to base their investment decision. Additionally, the Adviser has not previously managed a registered fund, which may increase the risks of investing in the Fund.

Depositary Receipts Risk. American Depositary Receipts (“ADRs”) have risks similar to those of foreign securities (political and economic conditions, changes in the exchange rates, etc.) and entitle the holder to all dividends and capital gains that are paid out on the underlying foreign shares.

Individual investors should contact their financial advisor or broker dealer representative for more information on TrueShares ETFs.

Investment Products and Services are: NOT FDIC INSURED / MAY LOSE VALUE / NO BANK GUARANTEE.

All registered investment companies, including TrueShares, are obliged to distribute portfolio gains to shareholders at year-end regardless of performance. Trading in TrueShares ETFs will also generate tax consequences and transaction expenses. The information provided is not intended to be tax advice. Tax consequences of dividend distributions may vary by individual taxpayer.

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